War Talk

War Talk

All of a sudden, we seem to be talking about World War Three.  People are worried, and some, knowing my professional background, have asked me what I think. Given the complexities, a 900 word blog may not be the ideal vehicle for answering that question, but here goes anyway.  Let’s start by recognising that the [...]

Iraq, Chilcot and learning from experience

Iraq, Chilcot and learning from experience

We seem to be living through one of those moments in history when it’s difficult to process all the things that are happening across the globe.  And yet somebody has to do so. Our political leaders, of course - but they in turn depend on advice from policy officials. One of the key recent learning [...]

The Rising Cost of Lying

The Rising Cost of Lying

According to official Russian sources, the Ukrainians are either killing their own people or staging highly realistic scenes of mass murder, with the sole aim of discrediting Russia’s invading forces.  Of course, nobody in their right mind, except perhaps the most dyed-in-the-wool ideologue or craven fellow traveller, believes any of this.  Applying David Hume’s test [...]

The World Turns on its Dark Side

The World Turns on its Dark Side

Putin’s war of choice in Ukraine has untold impact on countless lives and on the future security and stability of human civilisation. What to say?  Let's start with the nature of decision-making. Much has been made of Putin's shift from cool-headed strategist to Napoleonic visionary, and I confess that I saw nothing in the evolution [...]

Afghanistan: an object lesson in strategic failure

Afghanistan: an object lesson in strategic failure

Many years ago, I was talking with an Afghan who had lived through the country's civil war. After he had described the horrendous privations and dangers he and his family had experienced, he paused. 'Don't ever leave us like that again', he said.  And that, horrifically, is exactly what is happening. Not everything since the [...]